BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Southern Cal

Class: 1 Class Rank: 31 Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (11-8) Overall: (21-9) Overall Strength =   60.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-08-2022 Home    W    71.58  86  41    1 266 (  6- 22) CS Bakersfield         10.74 *   34.26                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    W    65.34  75  42    1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St                4.49 *   28.51                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    W    52.61  58  50    1 132 ( 17- 13) San Diego              -8.24     16.24                      
  4 11-19-2022 Away    W    71.55  74  48    1 115 ( 19- 12) San Francisco          10.70     15.30                      
  5 11-23-2022 Home    W    46.60  66  60    1 118 ( 17- 10) Penn                  -14.24     20.24                      
  6 11-26-2022 Home    W    48.80  79  48    1 338 (  4- 26) Utah St               -12.05 *   43.05                      
  7 11-30-2022 Home    W    49.67  69  58    1 136 ( 17- 12) Cal Baptist           -11.18     22.18                      
  8 12-03-2022 Home    W    66.34  88  40    1 333 ( 14- 15) Merrimack               5.49 *   42.51                      
  9 12-06-2022 Home    W    54.94  71  44    1 255 (  6- 24) San Jose St            -5.90 *   32.90                      
 10 12-15-2022 Home    L *  57.61  56  59    1  17 ( 25-  9) UCLA                   -3.24      0.24                      
 11 12-18-2022 Neutral L    54.45  48  62    1  10 ( 23-  8) Texas                  -6.39     -7.61                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    61.83  71  45    1 162 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA            0.98     25.02                      
 13 12-30-2022 Away    W *  69.54  69  58    1  57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St               8.69      2.31                      
 14 01-01-2023 Away    L *  38.82  45  73    1  23 ( 17- 14) Oregon                -22.02     -5.98                      
 15 01-08-2023 Away    L *  64.73  60  61    1  17 ( 25-  9) UCLA                    3.88     -4.88                      
 16 01-13-2023 Home    W *  68.34  63  43    1  71 ( 13- 17) California              7.49     12.51                      
 17 01-15-2023 Home    W *  79.24  55  46    1   4 ( 28-  5) Stanford               18.39     -9.39                      
 18 01-20-2023 Away    W *  70.57  51  44    1  32 ( 23- 10) Washington St           9.72     -2.72                      
 19 01-22-2023 Away    W *  65.29  63  54 1  1  52 ( 15- 14) Washington              4.44      4.56                      
 20 01-27-2023 Away    L *  61.91  73  83    1   8 ( 25-  4) Utah                    1.06    -11.06                      
 21 01-29-2023 Away    W *  82.07  71  54    1  27 ( 23-  8) Colorado               21.23     -4.23                      
 22 02-03-2023 Home    W *  58.08  64  49    1 102 (  8- 20) Arizona St             -2.76     17.76                      
 23 02-05-2023 Home    L *  53.99  75  81 2  1  24 ( 21-  9) Arizona                -6.86      0.86                      
 24 02-10-2023 Home    W *  66.70  56  51    1  23 ( 17- 14) Oregon                  5.85     -0.85                      
 25 02-12-2023 Home    W *  57.42  60  56 1  1  57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St              -3.43      7.43                      
 26 02-17-2023 Away    L *  72.36  47  50    1   4 ( 28-  5) Stanford               11.51    -14.51                      
 27 02-19-2023 Away    L *  50.46  78  81 1  1  71 ( 13- 17) California            -10.39      7.39                      
 28 02-23-2023 Home    W *  55.17  47  43    1  52 ( 15- 14) Washington             -5.68      9.68                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    W *  61.45  68  65 2  1  32 ( 23- 10) Washington St           0.60      2.40                      
 30 03-01-2023 Neutral L *  47.98  48  56    1  57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St             -12.87      4.87                      
      Averages              60.85  64.5 54.8

Best game:   82.07 = 17 point win over Colorado
Worst game:  38.82 = 28 point loss to Oregon
Team stdev:  10.14